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Percolation and Stochastic Geometry

How simple random rules create complex structures and spatial patterns, which can affect the spread of information or disease in unexpected ways.

Percolation theory provides a mathematical way to model random mazes. Imagine a large grid where each corridor between neighbouring rooms is either open or blocked at random. The resulting structure looks like a maze created by chance: some regions contain only small dead-end passages, while others form large, interconnected networks of paths. A central question is whether it is possible to find a path that crosses the entire maze.

From Random Mazes to Connected Networks

As the probability that a corridor is open increases, the structure of the maze changes dramatically. When the probability is small, all open paths remain short and disconnected. But above a certain critical value, a giant connected cluster suddenly appears, making it possible to travel across the system. Understanding this sharp transition from fragmentation to large-scale connectivity is one of the central problems in percolation theory.

Although the model is simple to define, it has deep connections to many physical phenomena, including the spread of diseases, forest fires, and the robustness of networks. Mathematically, percolation leads to challenging questions about geometry and the large-scale structure of random systems, which is often described by fractal objects.

Critical Thresholds and Fractal Geometry

Stochastic geometry studies random geometric structures more broadly. Instead of starting from a fixed grid, one might scatter points randomly in space and then build geometric objects from them: connect nearby points to form networks, partition space into random cells, or study clusters formed by overlapping shapes. These models provide natural ways to describe spatial randomness and appear in applications ranging from wireless communication networks to materials science.

Members of ProbLaB with research in these areas include:

  • , Senior Lecturer; has studied high-dimensional percolation using lace-expansion techniques
  • , Reader; has studied phase transition phenomena for random walks in random environments using techniques from stochastic geometry
  • , Lecturer; has studied Bernoulli percolation and various percolation representations of models from statistical physics
  • , Professor; has studied continuum percolation and random geometric graphs
  • , Professor; has studied accessibility percolation and the infinite-parent spatial lambda-Fleming-Viot process, two models which are both motivated by evolutionary biology, but have rich probabilistic and geometric properties.